Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.003987 0.004188 0.004395 0.004622 0.004867 0.005121 0.005406
2025-01-19 0.003511 0.003800 0.004108 0.004462 0.004860 0.005293 0.005805
2025-01-26 0.003311 0.003656 0.004035 0.004483 0.005004 0.005592 0.006311
2025-02-02 0.003222 0.003619 0.004064 0.004606 0.005252 0.006004 0.006956
2025-02-09 0.003053 0.003473 0.003954 0.004550 0.005277 0.006144 0.007273
2025-02-16 0.002934 0.003377 0.003892 0.004543 0.005352 0.006341 0.007660
2025-02-23 0.002820 0.003279 0.003820 0.004515 0.005395 0.006493 0.007993
2025-03-02 0.002756 0.003237 0.003812 0.004562 0.005530 0.006762 0.008489
2025-03-09 0.002659 0.003149 0.003742 0.004525 0.005553 0.006883 0.008788
2025-03-16 0.002569 0.003064 0.003672 0.004484 0.005565 0.006988 0.009066
2025-03-23 0.002471 0.002967 0.003580 0.004409 0.005527 0.007021 0.009243
2025-03-30 0.002382 0.002878 0.003497 0.004341 0.005494 0.007056 0.009419
2025-04-06 0.002329 0.002834 0.003471 0.004351 0.005570 0.007250 0.009844
2025-04-13 0.002214 0.002706 0.003332 0.004203 0.005421 0.007120 0.009781
2025-04-20 0.002173 0.002674 0.003317 0.004223 0.005507 0.007327 0.010239
2025-04-27 0.002171 0.002693 0.003369 0.004336 0.005728 0.007742 0.011046
2025-05-04 0.002107 0.002627 0.003305 0.004284 0.005709 0.007797 0.011281
2025-05-11 0.002063 0.002586 0.003275 0.004277 0.005754 0.007950 0.011683
2025-05-18 0.002015 0.002539 0.003233 0.004252 0.005770 0.008057 0.012013
2025-05-25 0.001994 0.002526 0.003238 0.004295 0.005889 0.008330 0.012644
2025-06-01 0.001947 0.002478 0.003192 0.004261 0.005889 0.008413 0.012948
2025-06-08 0.001901 0.002430 0.003145 0.004223 0.005881 0.008482 0.013228
2025-06-15 0.001847 0.002369 0.003079 0.004155 0.005822 0.008464 0.013350